CryptoPunk #8401 valuation (beta)
Male, Handlebars, Bandana, 3D Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 60.8 ETH (about $138,342). 1σ range 43.9 to 84.3 ETH, 2σ range 31.7 to 117 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 60.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 43.9 to 84.3 ETH, 2σ range 31.7 to 117 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Handlebars -6%, Bandana -4%, 3D Glasses +76%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3378 2026-10-14: 33.0 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4746 2026-09-22: 88.9 ETH (82.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3378 2026-07-06: 35.0 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4052 2026-05-15: 34.9 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4052 2026-05-13: 34.4 ETH (34.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3378 2025-12-04: 30.6 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3378 2025-12-03: 28.8 ETH (28.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5355 2025-10-30: 50.0 ETH (39.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-05-18: 0.75 ETH (sale)
- 2020-06-23: 1.11 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-18: 20.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-16: 36.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.