CryptoPunk #8402 valuation (beta)
Male, Big Beard, Cowboy Hat, Eye Mask.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 74.6 ETH (about $169,681). 1σ range 48.8 to 114 ETH, 2σ range 31.9 to 175 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 74.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 48.8 to 114 ETH, 2σ range 31.9 to 175 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Cowboy Hat +96%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1820 2025-04-15: 72.7 ETH (51.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1820 2025-02-06: 49.0 ETH (39.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3017 2024-12-23: 47.0 ETH (35.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2235 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8557 2026-09-11: 32.3 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7358 2026-09-01: 34.5 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8480 2026-08-25: 37.5 ETH (34.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2524 2026-08-21: 34.5 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-08-08: 0.79 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.