CryptoPunk #8404 valuation (beta)
Male, Goat, Hoodie, Vape.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 117 ETH (about $265,285). 1σ range 61.2 to 223 ETH, 2σ range 32.1 to 425 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 117 ETH (beta), 1σ range 61.2 to 223 ETH, 2σ range 32.1 to 425 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Goat -7%, Hoodie +238%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1923 2026-06-25: 34.6 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1923 2026-06-25: 30.7 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4920 2026-06-05: 34.0 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5938 2025-12-10: 29.2 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1182 2025-04-08: 142 ETH (100 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2550 2025-02-13: 125 ETH (104 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8233 2026-11-02: 31.4 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8233 2026-10-28: 30.5 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.