CryptoPunk #8405 valuation (beta)
Female, Tassle Hat, Cigarette, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.2 ETH (about $71,011). 1σ range 29.6 to 32.9 ETH, 2σ range 28.1 to 34.7 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.6 to 32.9 ETH, 2σ range 28.1 to 34.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Cigarette -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #588 2025-04-02: 53.5 ETH (37.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6273 2025-07-09: 40.5 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6273 2025-06-22: 38.0 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6273 2025-06-09: 44.3 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5496 2025-06-04: 61.8 ETH (40.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6273 2025-03-13: 37.5 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5040 2026-10-31: 28.3 ETH (27.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5040 2026-10-30: 27.8 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-13: 15.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-21: 50.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.