CryptoPunk #8408 valuation (beta)
Male, Muttonchops, Mohawk Dark, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.3 ETH (about $71,058). 1σ range 28.8 to 33.9 ETH, 2σ range 26.5 to 36.8 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.8 to 33.9 ETH, 2σ range 26.5 to 36.8 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Muttonchops -9%, Mohawk Dark -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3739 2026-10-11: 33.5 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3739 2026-07-04: 34.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8062 2026-06-30: 31.5 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6508 2026-04-17: 27.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6508 2026-04-12: 26.7 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6508 2026-04-11: 28.4 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1085 2026-03-28: 33.3 ETH (34.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1085 2026-03-19: 32.0 ETH (33.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-09-24: 2.29 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-10: 19.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-30: 24.8 ETH (sale)
- 2025-12-22: 39.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.