CryptoPunk #8410 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard, Earring, Cowboy Hat.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 60.0 ETH (about $145,322). 1σ range 43.6 to 82.5 ETH, 2σ range 31.7 to 113 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 60.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 43.6 to 82.5 ETH, 2σ range 31.7 to 113 ETH, confidence Low, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Front Beard -7%, Earring -2%, Cowboy Hat +96%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8871 2026-10-16: 32.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8871 2026-09-23: 34.0 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2833 2026-07-03: 76.0 ETH (71.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6891 2026-07-03: 97.0 ETH (90.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4336 2026-05-28: 78.0 ETH (74.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7310 2026-05-17: 32.9 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2271 2026-03-20: 29.7 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2271 2026-03-06: 29.4 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-07-24: 37.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-04: 69.7 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.