CryptoPunk #8412 valuation (beta)
Male, Chinstrap, Wild Hair, Vape, Nerd Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.1 ETH (about $82,182). 1σ range 32.6 to 40.1 ETH, 2σ range 29.3 to 44.6 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.6 to 40.1 ETH, 2σ range 29.3 to 44.6 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Chinstrap -5%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1923 2026-06-25: 34.6 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1923 2026-06-25: 30.7 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5192 2026-01-02: 38.5 ETH (41.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3720 2025-11-23: 110 ETH (110 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7494 2025-10-05: 55.0 ETH (34.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #750 2025-08-22: 47.3 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #750 2025-08-18: 47.5 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7494 2025-08-18: 51.8 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.