CryptoPunk #8417 valuation (beta)
Female, Mole, Wild White Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 51.0 ETH (about $123,537). 1σ range 39.3 to 66.1 ETH, 2σ range 30.4 to 85.6 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 02:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 51.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 39.3 to 66.1 ETH, 2σ range 30.4 to 85.6 ETH, confidence Low, as of 02:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 02:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +23%, Wild White Hair +35%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4153 2026-06-14: 41.5 ETH (38.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4153 2026-05-20: 38.5 ETH (34.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4846 2026-04-19: 33.5 ETH (38.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4846 2026-04-18: 24.5 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4101 2025-10-27: 43.5 ETH (33.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4405 2026-10-22: 88.0 ETH (85.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6239 2026-10-15: 31.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1452 2026-09-23: 35.0 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-08: 0.40 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.