CryptoPunk #8424 valuation (beta)
Female, Bandana, Clown Eyes Blue.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.6 ETH (about $71,775). 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7502 2026-05-14: 30.9 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7502 2026-05-14: 29.7 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9662 2025-12-21: 27.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5099 2025-10-05: 49.0 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8548 2025-10-03: 47.3 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7502 2025-08-22: 46.5 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5099 2025-08-11: 56.7 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5099 2025-08-10: 55.7 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-01-04: 0.49 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-23: 23.8 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-31: 29.7 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-28: 139 ETH (sale)
- 2021-11-04: 0.00 ETH (sale, not used: below-half-floor)
- 2021-11-14: 84.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.