CryptoPunk #8433 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Mohawk Thin, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.8 ETH (about $72,196). 1σ range 29.3 to 34.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.0 to 37.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.3 to 34.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.0 to 37.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Mole -7%, Mohawk Thin -11%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2595 2026-06-13: 31.9 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8632 2026-05-16: 45.0 ETH (41.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9024 2026-03-28: 30.0 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2595 2025-12-15: 26.8 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2595 2025-12-14: 26.3 ETH (28.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7625 2025-10-16: 47.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7709 2025-08-30: 47.2 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3713 2025-04-09: 55.0 ETH (38.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-01-01: 0.10 ETH (sale)
- 2018-09-11: 0.20 ETH (sale)
- 2021-06-24: 16.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-06-04: 38.1 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.