CryptoPunk #8451 valuation (beta)
Male, Earring, Messy Hair, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.2 ETH (about $84,676). 1σ range 33.5 to 41.4 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 46.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.5 to 41.4 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 46.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4523 2026-08-07: 58.0 ETH (53.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4523 2025-10-10: 52.7 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4523 2025-10-06: 49.0 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-25: 34.5 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-24: 33.5 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-24: 33.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4755 2026-09-23: 33.5 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-18: 14.4 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-02: 25.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-03: 32.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.