CryptoPunk #8454 valuation (beta)
Female, Straight Hair Blonde, Horned Rim Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.7 ETH (about $69,835). 1σ range 29.2 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 34.1 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.2 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 34.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- No attribute of this punk has a clear premium in recent sales, so the estimate is the type multiple.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6370 2026-10-31: 36.0 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5084 2026-10-27: 31.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5084 2026-10-19: 28.7 ETH (28.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1895 2026-10-09: 33.3 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8514 2026-10-09: 34.0 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3976 2026-10-09: 30.0 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8514 2026-09-29: 32.4 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8514 2026-09-28: 31.0 ETH (27.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-16: 47.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-26: 84.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-11-02: 101 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-12-02: 77.8 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-04-24: 60.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-05-25: 47.6 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-14: 48.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-26: 66.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-06-14: 27.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-11-21: 36.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.