CryptoPunk #8457 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard, Frumpy Hair, Clown Eyes Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.7 ETH (about $74,370). 1σ range 30.2 to 35.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.9 to 38.4 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 49.9 ETH, 5.3σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 35.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.9 to 38.4 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Frumpy Hair -7%, Clown Eyes Green -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4341 2026-10-05: 33.9 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4341 2026-09-28: 33.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4341 2026-09-25: 31.4 ETH (27.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4341 2026-09-22: 32.1 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4341 2026-09-22: 32.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4341 2026-09-04: 30.1 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9700 2026-08-28: 31.5 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9700 2026-08-28: 32.5 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-07-19: 21.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-27: 23.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-23: 68.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-03: 100 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-01: 125 ETH (sale)
- 2022-08-15: 71.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-08-21: 73.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-04-06: 58.6 ETH (sale)
- 2023-05-04: 55.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-06-22: 56.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.