CryptoPunk #846 valuation (beta)
Male, Earring, Headband, Small Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.2 ETH (about $84,676). 1σ range 33.5 to 41.4 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 46.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.5 to 41.4 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 46.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9855 2026-02-05: 31.5 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9855 2025-11-20: 30.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2323 2025-09-03: 51.9 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2323 2025-08-24: 48.5 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9855 2025-08-23: 48.0 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9855 2025-08-14: 51.8 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9855 2024-12-07: 39.0 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9589 2024-11-06: 28.9 ETH (33.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-01-27: 5.40 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.