CryptoPunk #8461 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Wild Hair, Welding Goggles.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 40.8 ETH (about $92,870). 1σ range 35.1 to 47.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 55.3 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 40.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 35.1 to 47.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 55.3 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Welding Goggles +29%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6223 2026-05-04: 31.5 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1035 2026-02-01: 27.0 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9288 2024-12-19: 42.0 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9288 2024-12-12: 42.0 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1721 2026-11-03: 33.8 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5040 2026-10-31: 28.3 ETH (27.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5040 2026-10-30: 27.8 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #874 2026-10-30: 28.9 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-01: 70.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-24: 95.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-08-03: 29.7 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.