CryptoPunk #8470 valuation (beta)
Female, Earring, Mohawk Thin, Clown Eyes Blue.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.7 ETH (about $69,835). 1σ range 29.2 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 34.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.2 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 34.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- No attribute of this punk has a clear premium in recent sales, so the estimate is the type multiple.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4972 2026-06-30: 32.5 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7090 2026-06-27: 50.0 ETH (46.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6379 2026-05-16: 31.8 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2461 2026-05-16: 31.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7502 2026-05-14: 30.9 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7502 2026-05-14: 29.7 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2643 2026-01-20: 40.0 ETH (44.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6379 2026-01-09: 27.7 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-06: 50.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-06: 53.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-27: 90.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-02-27: 66.9 ETH (sale, not used: twin-of-nominal-24h)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.