CryptoPunk #8471 valuation (beta)
Male, Goat, Police Cap, 3D Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 66.2 ETH (about $150,618). 1σ range 45.9 to 95.6 ETH, 2σ range 31.8 to 138 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 100.0 ETH, 1.1σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 66.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 45.9 to 95.6 ETH, 2σ range 31.8 to 138 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Goat -7%, 3D Glasses +76%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5866 2026-09-17: 29.6 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5866 2026-09-05: 28.5 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5866 2026-04-22: 28.9 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8864 2026-03-29: 31.5 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8864 2026-02-24: 30.0 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8864 2025-08-23: 56.5 ETH (34.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3698 2025-03-14: 86.5 ETH (67.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3698 2025-01-07: 82.0 ETH (66.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-12-03: 110 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-20: 99.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-18: 105 ETH (sale)
- 2023-07-05: 80.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.