CryptoPunk #8473 valuation (beta)
Male, Crazy Hair, Cigarette, 3D Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 59.7 ETH (about $135,694). 1σ range 43.5 to 81.9 ETH, 2σ range 31.7 to 112 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 1,313 ETH, 9.8σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 59.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 43.5 to 81.9 ETH, 2σ range 31.7 to 112 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 3D Glasses +76%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8353 2026-08-08: 40.5 ETH (37.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8353 2026-06-27: 42.0 ETH (38.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6634 2026-05-04: 205 ETH (199 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4790 2026-03-13: 36.9 ETH (38.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4790 2026-03-04: 29.0 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4135 2025-09-03: 45.0 ETH (28.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4135 2025-08-08: 53.8 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7060 2025-03-23: 89.0 ETH (66.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-11-08: 140 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-12-09: 145 ETH (sale)
- 2022-04-20: 150 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.