CryptoPunk #8475 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Peak Spike.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.6 ETH (about $71,830). 1σ range 29.1 to 34.3 ETH, 2σ range 26.9 to 37.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 19:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 6,000 ETH, 64.9σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.1 to 34.3 ETH, 2σ range 26.9 to 37.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 19:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 19:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Mole -7%, Peak Spike -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2124 2026-03-21: 28.8 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2124 2026-03-13: 28.4 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2124 2025-11-14: 33.0 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1026 2025-08-09: 54.2 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4960 2025-07-08: 39.8 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4960 2025-05-30: 47.5 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9243 2025-03-21: 38.8 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9243 2025-01-17: 38.4 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-11: 5.98 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-21: 13.7 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-21: 16.7 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-04: 35.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-09: 39.4 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-09: 43.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-23: 53.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-23: 67.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-01: 95.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-09-13: 85.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.