CryptoPunk #8476 valuation (beta)
Male, Earring, Stringy Hair, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.0 ETH (about $75,028). 1σ range 30.4 to 35.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.1 to 38.8 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.4 to 35.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.1 to 38.8 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Earring -2%, Stringy Hair -9%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5655 2026-02-06: 40.0 ETH (40.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5655 2025-04-24: 47.7 ETH (33.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9585 2026-11-02: 31.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9132 2026-10-30: 28.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8871 2026-10-16: 32.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3739 2026-10-11: 33.5 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8871 2026-09-23: 34.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2024-06-04: 31.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-02-02: 37.7 ETH (sale)
- 2025-02-15: 37.5 ETH (sale)
- 2025-12-22: 36.6 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.