CryptoPunk #8481 valuation (beta)
Male, Headband, Cigarette, Small Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 40.6 ETH (about $92,297). 1σ range 35.3 to 46.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.8 to 53.6 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 195 ETH, 11.3σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 40.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 35.3 to 46.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.8 to 53.6 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1424 2026-10-20: 53.0 ETH (50.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2075 2026-05-02: 37.0 ETH (35.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6508 2026-04-17: 27.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6508 2026-04-12: 26.7 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6508 2026-04-11: 28.4 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7463 2026-02-26: 30.9 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7463 2026-02-19: 31.9 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7463 2026-02-12: 33.0 ETH (33.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-04-16: 25.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-21: 27.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-22: 19.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-09: 22.9 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-07-26: 26.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-30: 27.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-03: 44.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-10: 67.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-27: 110 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-29: 155 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.