CryptoPunk #8491 valuation (beta)
Male, Chinstrap.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 41.5 ETH (about $100,621). 1σ range 32.6 to 53.0 ETH, 2σ range 25.5 to 67.5 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 41.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.6 to 53.0 ETH, 2σ range 25.5 to 67.5 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 1 attribute (vs 3) +15%, Chinstrap -5%.
- In the backtest, Male 0-1 sales landed within ±7.8% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±27.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2303 2026-11-02: 33.0 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4064 2026-10-12: 31.5 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3667 2026-10-09: 33.0 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3667 2026-10-08: 31.7 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9706 2026-10-07: 37.7 ETH (34.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4064 2026-09-24: 32.5 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8272 2026-09-23: 34.6 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3667 2026-09-22: 33.3 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-18: 19.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2026-09-23: 69.8 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.