CryptoPunk #8504 valuation (beta)
Male, Goat, Crazy Hair, Eye Patch.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.4 ETH (about $80,381). 1σ range 32.3 to 38.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 42.4 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.3 to 38.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 42.4 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Goat -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9695 2025-05-27: 54.0 ETH (34.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8264 2026-10-14: 55.0 ETH (52.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2505 2026-09-21: 31.7 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5866 2026-09-17: 29.6 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5866 2026-09-05: 28.5 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2505 2026-08-20: 32.3 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4920 2026-06-05: 34.0 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8264 2026-05-13: 42.7 ETH (43.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-15: 8.00 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-02-15: 9.75 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-16: 11.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-12: 24.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-29: 24.8 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.