CryptoPunk #8505 valuation (beta)
Female, Headband, Clown Eyes Blue.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 29.6 ETH (about $67,262). 1σ range 28.0 to 31.3 ETH, 2σ range 26.5 to 33.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 35.6 ETH, 3.3σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 29.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.0 to 31.3 ETH, 2σ range 26.5 to 33.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Headband -4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8450 2026-09-07: 29.9 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7894 2025-07-23: 48.0 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7894 2025-06-04: 45.0 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1930 2026-10-31: 33.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5084 2026-10-27: 31.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4140 2026-10-24: 31.3 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5084 2026-10-19: 28.7 ETH (28.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1930 2026-10-15: 29.6 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2026-08-07: 30.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-09-22: 32.3 ETH (sale, not used: relay-same-block)
- 2026-09-22: 32.3 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.