CryptoPunk #8510 valuation (beta)
Male, Earring, Mohawk, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 44.9 ETH (about $102,040). 1σ range 37.4 to 53.8 ETH, 2σ range 31.2 to 64.6 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 44.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 37.4 to 53.8 ETH, 2σ range 31.2 to 64.6 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Earring -2%, Mohawk -8%, VR +23%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9132 2026-10-30: 28.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7591 2026-09-25: 33.2 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8992 2026-07-19: 30.6 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2957 2026-07-12: 34.9 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2957 2026-07-03: 33.3 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4777 2026-05-16: 35.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4855 2026-04-21: 39.0 ETH (41.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9110 2026-04-10: 30.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-08: 8.50 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-15: 32.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.