CryptoPunk #8511 valuation (beta)
Female, Spots, Wild White Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 43.1 ETH (about $97,899). 1σ range 36.1 to 51.4 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 61.3 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 72.6 ETH, 3.0σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 43.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 36.1 to 51.4 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 61.3 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Wild White Hair +35%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4405 2026-10-22: 88.0 ETH (84.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5745 2026-09-29: 33.1 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4281 2026-09-21: 43.0 ETH (41.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5745 2026-07-13: 33.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5668 2026-07-01: 52.0 ETH (50.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4153 2026-06-14: 41.5 ETH (38.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4105 2026-06-05: 30.9 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2409 2026-06-05: 30.9 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-04-07: 1.40 ETH (sale)
- 2020-04-23: 2.75 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-02-10: 18.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-28: 35.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2023-05-12: 57.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-06-20: 58.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.