CryptoPunk #8520 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Cowboy Hat, Small Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 74.6 ETH (about $169,681). 1σ range 48.8 to 114 ETH, 2σ range 31.9 to 175 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 74.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 48.8 to 114 ETH, 2σ range 31.9 to 175 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Cowboy Hat +96%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4255 2026-09-02: 33.5 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9774 2026-07-27: 95.0 ETH (88.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2276 2026-06-30: 45.5 ETH (42.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4255 2026-06-28: 32.8 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3719 2026-05-15: 79.5 ETH (77.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8492 2026-05-10: 32.8 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8492 2026-05-01: 31.9 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8492 2026-04-28: 30.5 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-05: 14.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.