CryptoPunk #8521 valuation (beta)
Male, Luxurious Beard, Peak Spike, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.1 ETH (about $79,841). 1σ range 32.1 to 38.4 ETH, 2σ range 29.3 to 42.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.1 to 38.4 ETH, 2σ range 29.3 to 42.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Peak Spike -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4714 2026-09-24: 39.9 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1001 2026-07-12: 45.0 ETH (41.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9953 2026-06-18: 165 ETH (151 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4714 2026-05-20: 38.0 ETH (33.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8870 2026-05-19: 130 ETH (115 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1106 2026-04-22: 30.5 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4714 2026-03-09: 35.0 ETH (35.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8783 2025-10-31: 39.9 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-06-27: 0.50 ETH (sale)
- 2025-09-18: 55.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.