CryptoPunk #8578 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard, Nerd Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.8 ETH (about $83,682). 1σ range 33.2 to 40.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 45.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.2 to 40.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 45.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1812 2026-05-14: 34.5 ETH (34.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1812 2026-04-01: 31.1 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1812 2026-04-01: 31.1 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1812 2026-02-05: 34.0 ETH (34.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8682 2025-09-28: 45.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1812 2025-09-01: 45.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7674 2025-07-25: 200 ETH (115 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2745 2025-07-15: 50.0 ETH (37.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.