CryptoPunk #8594 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Mohawk, Nerd Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 40.3 ETH (about $91,712). 1σ range 35.2 to 46.2 ETH, 2σ range 30.7 to 52.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 40.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 35.2 to 46.2 ETH, 2σ range 30.7 to 52.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Smile +17%, Mohawk -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7591 2026-09-25: 33.2 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (158 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8918 2026-06-16: 39.0 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2644 2025-12-17: 29.5 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6898 2025-08-12: 60.0 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2644 2025-07-25: 55.0 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9717 2025-01-02: 39.5 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6898 2024-11-13: 32.9 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-15: 61.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-01-20: 69.7 ETH (sale)
- 2025-11-28: 36.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.