CryptoPunk #861 valuation (beta)
Female, Straight Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.7 ETH (about $69,835). 1σ range 24.9 to 37.9 ETH, 2σ range 20.2 to 46.7 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 24.9 to 37.9 ETH, 2σ range 20.2 to 46.7 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- No attribute of this punk has a clear premium in recent sales, so the estimate is the type multiple.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 0-1 sales landed within ±9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±19.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3190 2026-10-20: 29.0 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6263 2026-10-08: 31.0 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6263 2026-09-22: 32.4 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2721 2026-09-22: 36.0 ETH (33.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5917 2026-08-19: 31.4 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3190 2026-08-06: 34.0 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5917 2026-07-25: 31.2 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1583 2026-07-25: 32.2 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-06-27: 0.30 ETH (sale)
- 2020-01-10: 2.35 ETH (sale)
- 2020-05-27: 3.00 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-12: 3.00 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-01: 136 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.