CryptoPunk #8615 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Mole, Stringy Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.7 ETH (about $91,440). 1σ range 33.8 to 42.2 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 47.1 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.8 to 42.2 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 47.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Smile +17%, Mole -7%, Stringy Hair -9%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9984 2026-09-21: 31.2 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9984 2026-04-27: 30.8 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #926 2026-10-06: 34.5 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #926 2026-09-24: 32.8 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #926 2026-09-22: 35.0 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #926 2026-08-19: 33.2 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #926 2026-08-04: 32.4 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8918 2026-06-16: 39.0 ETH (36.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2023-03-06: 66.4 ETH (sale)
- 2023-11-11: 65.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.