CryptoPunk #8619 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Messy Hair, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.3 ETH (about $84,798). 1σ range 33.5 to 41.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 46.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.5 to 41.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 46.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3758 2026-10-12: 40.0 ETH (38.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-25: 34.5 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-24: 33.5 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-24: 33.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5034 2026-09-19: 46.5 ETH (47.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2648 2026-05-25: 35.0 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9119 2026-02-06: 33.8 ETH (33.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2956 2026-02-04: 29.4 ETH (32.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2025-01-15: 40.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-01-15: 47.9 ETH (sale)
- 2025-01-15: 54.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-01-30: 62.5 ETH (sale)
- 2025-03-04: 49.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-04-17: 62.4 ETH (sale)
- 2025-05-26: 64.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.