CryptoPunk #862 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Silver Chain, Cowboy Hat, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 61.8 ETH (about $140,566). 1σ range 44.2 to 86.5 ETH, 2σ range 31.6 to 121 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 61.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 44.2 to 86.5 ETH, 2σ range 31.6 to 121 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Mole -7%, Cowboy Hat +96%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3638 2024-12-04: 79.7 ETH (53.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3638 2024-12-02: 68.7 ETH (46.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9065 2026-09-21: 31.9 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9065 2026-08-31: 30.9 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3425 2026-07-30: 33.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2957 2026-07-12: 34.9 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2957 2026-07-03: 33.3 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-07-31: 54.2 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-01: 70.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.