CryptoPunk #8634 valuation (beta)
Male, Frown, Shaved Head, Pipe.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.6 ETH (about $85,559). 1σ range 33.7 to 42.0 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 46.9 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.7 to 42.0 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 46.9 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Shaved Head -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8246 2026-09-22: 32.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6953 2026-01-03: 29.0 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9816 2025-11-18: 58.0 ETH (56.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7771 2025-10-09: 48.1 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7771 2025-10-06: 49.8 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9970 2025-08-16: 50.0 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6953 2025-08-11: 56.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9816 2025-07-28: 65.0 ETH (36.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-27: 16.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-03-27: 19.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-13: 25.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-05: 29.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-05-28: 23.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-07-19: 54.7 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.