CryptoPunk #8643 valuation (beta)
Male, Silver Chain, Muttonchops, Wild Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.7 ETH (about $69,911). 1σ range 28.3 to 33.4 ETH, 2σ range 26.0 to 36.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.3 to 33.4 ETH, 2σ range 26.0 to 36.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Muttonchops -9%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8088 2026-05-31: 36.7 ETH (34.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8088 2025-08-08: 54.0 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9797 2025-08-05: 140 ETH (81.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3391 2026-11-02: 30.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5448 2026-10-21: 60.0 ETH (57.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1349 2026-10-13: 38.7 ETH (37.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-05-14: 20.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-07-19: 22.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-04: 36.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-06: 56.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-23: 57.9 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-25: 79.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-02-03: 72.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.