CryptoPunk #8645 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard, Cap, Horned Rim Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.4 ETH (about $71,436). 1σ range 29.0 to 34.1 ETH, 2σ range 26.7 to 37.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.0 to 34.1 ETH, 2σ range 26.7 to 37.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Front Beard -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4371 2026-05-20: 34.8 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3945 2026-01-24: 39.0 ETH (42.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5122 2026-01-22: 27.3 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5122 2026-01-21: 25.7 ETH (28.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3181 2025-09-03: 48.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3440 2025-03-27: 42.2 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3440 2024-11-23: 37.9 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8233 2026-11-02: 31.4 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-11-30: 78.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-12-03: 76.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.