CryptoPunk #865 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Earring, Mohawk Thin, Purple Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.8 ETH (about $70,040). 1σ range 29.2 to 32.5 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 34.3 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.2 to 32.5 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 34.3 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Purple Eye Shadow -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5295 2025-11-06: 50.0 ETH (42.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5295 2025-09-04: 49.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7626 2025-08-18: 50.0 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3951 2025-08-06: 51.0 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5295 2025-07-22: 53.0 ETH (33.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3951 2025-05-13: 47.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9383 2025-04-21: 41.7 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9383 2025-04-20: 40.2 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.