CryptoPunk #8650 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Messy Hair, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.9 ETH (about $77,055). 1σ range 31.2 to 36.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.7 to 40.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.2 to 36.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.7 to 40.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3860 2026-07-02: 42.0 ETH (39.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2648 2026-05-25: 35.0 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8833 2026-04-03: 39.3 ETH (42.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6749 2026-04-01: 38.0 ETH (40.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8205 2026-03-30: 31.5 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8205 2026-03-23: 30.2 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3860 2026-03-19: 32.9 ETH (34.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6749 2026-03-04: 30.9 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.