CryptoPunk #8653 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Peak Spike, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.7 ETH (about $79,351). 1σ range 30.2 to 35.5 ETH, 2σ range 27.9 to 38.4 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 35.5 ETH, 2σ range 27.9 to 38.4 ETH, confidence High, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Mole -7%, Peak Spike -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9065 2026-09-21: 31.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9065 2026-08-31: 30.9 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3425 2026-07-30: 33.0 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2957 2026-07-12: 34.9 ETH (32.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2957 2026-07-03: 33.3 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1106 2026-04-22: 30.5 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2830 2026-04-22: 35.5 ETH (37.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-13: 6.56 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-08: 21.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-06: 55.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-24: 65.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-08: 63.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-10: 60.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-23: 72.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-01-28: 86.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-31: 86.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.