CryptoPunk #8658 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Shadow Beard, Wild Hair, Pipe.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 47.5 ETH (about $108,007). 1σ range 38.5 to 58.7 ETH, 2σ range 31.1 to 72.5 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 47.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 38.5 to 58.7 ETH, 2σ range 31.1 to 72.5 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Smile +17%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5448 2026-10-21: 60.0 ETH (57.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5448 2026-10-01: 35.0 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4746 2026-09-22: 88.9 ETH (82.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9774 2026-07-27: 95.0 ETH (88.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2276 2026-06-30: 45.5 ETH (42.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9659 2026-05-06: 38.9 ETH (37.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4791 2026-04-25: 27.7 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6056 2026-01-08: 40.0 ETH (41.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-14: 25.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-01: 37.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.