CryptoPunk #867 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Blonde Short, Cigarette, Clown Eyes Blue.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.0 ETH (about $81,773). 1σ range 32.7 to 39.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.5 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 120 ETH, 12.6σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.7 to 39.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.5 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +23%, Blonde Short -3%, Cigarette -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4140 2026-10-24: 31.3 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4140 2026-10-07: 32.2 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8797 2025-07-20: 42.9 ETH (27.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5084 2026-10-27: 31.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5084 2026-10-19: 28.7 ETH (28.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4075 2026-10-08: 31.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4075 2026-09-23: 33.6 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7366 2026-09-21: 29.7 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-11-07: 103 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.