CryptoPunk #8685 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Stringy Hair, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 49.6 ETH (about $112,734). 1σ range 39.5 to 62.3 ETH, 2σ range 31.5 to 78.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 49.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 39.5 to 62.3 ETH, 2σ range 31.5 to 78.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Smile +17%, Stringy Hair -9%, VR +23%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9984 2026-09-21: 31.2 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8918 2026-06-16: 39.0 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9016 2026-05-19: 35.4 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9016 2026-05-11: 33.5 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9984 2026-04-27: 30.8 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5655 2026-02-06: 40.0 ETH (40.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6058 2026-02-02: 31.0 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5732 2025-10-09: 48.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.