CryptoPunk #8696 valuation (beta)
Male, Vampire Hair, Medical Mask, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.1 ETH (about $77,635). 1σ range 31.4 to 37.1 ETH, 2σ range 28.8 to 40.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.4 to 37.1 ETH, 2σ range 28.8 to 40.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Vampire Hair -11%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1393 2026-05-23: 33.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8691 2026-01-09: 45.0 ETH (46.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9968 2025-10-07: 58.0 ETH (35.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4852 2025-07-20: 48.5 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4852 2025-06-07: 51.7 ETH (34.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5500 2025-03-31: 48.0 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5500 2025-01-27: 43.0 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4282 2026-11-02: 30.3 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-06-02: 6.00 ETH (sale)
- 2020-12-25: 12.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-01-18: 6.66 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-01-26: 15.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-09: 16.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-02-19: 60.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-19: 64.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-09-01: 130 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.