CryptoPunk #8771 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Earring, Straight Hair, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.9 ETH (about $77,310). 1σ range 30.1 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.4 to 35.8 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 44.7 ETH, 5.9σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.1 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.4 to 35.8 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2202 2024-12-04: 125 ETH (85.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3190 2026-10-20: 29.0 ETH (28.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3190 2026-08-06: 34.0 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2903 2026-06-16: 32.7 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3190 2026-02-28: 30.9 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3190 2026-02-23: 29.0 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3190 2026-02-13: 30.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3190 2025-12-11: 27.0 ETH (27.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-03-01: 0.20 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2023-07-07: 47.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-11-10: 59.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-11-10: 59.0 ETH (sale, not used: round-trip-30d)
- 2023-12-06: 58.4 ETH (sale, not used: round-trip-30d)
- 2023-12-09: 57.5 ETH (sale)
- 2024-05-07: 41.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.