CryptoPunk #8826 valuation (beta)
Male, Chinstrap, Mohawk Thin.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.4 ETH (about $69,176). 1σ range 27.9 to 33.2 ETH, 2σ range 25.6 to 36.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 55.7 ETH, 7.1σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.9 to 33.2 ETH, 2σ range 25.6 to 36.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Chinstrap -5%, Mohawk Thin -11%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5477 2025-08-20: 66.0 ETH (41.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8215 2025-06-26: 46.0 ETH (35.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5396 2025-05-22: 50.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2303 2026-11-02: 33.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4064 2026-10-12: 31.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3667 2026-10-09: 33.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3667 2026-10-08: 31.7 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9706 2026-10-07: 37.7 ETH (34.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-05-13: 12.4 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-01: 30.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-01: 33.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-01: 35.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.