CryptoPunk #8836 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Straight Hair, Purple Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.8 ETH (about $70,040). 1σ range 29.2 to 32.5 ETH, 2σ range 27.8 to 34.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 49.9 ETH, 9.3σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.2 to 32.5 ETH, 2σ range 27.8 to 34.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Purple Eye Shadow -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3190 2026-10-20: 29.0 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6263 2026-10-08: 31.0 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6263 2026-09-22: 32.4 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2721 2026-09-22: 36.0 ETH (33.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6631 2026-08-12: 31.0 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6631 2026-08-12: 30.0 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3190 2026-08-06: 34.0 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7367 2026-05-29: 55.0 ETH (53.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-01-26: 0.25 ETH (sale)
- 2022-03-04: 85.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-16: 86.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-11-05: 24.5 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.