CryptoPunk #8851 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Beanie, Eye Patch.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.9 ETH (about $82,123). 1σ range 31.2 to 36.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.7 to 40.0 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 12:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.2 to 36.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.7 to 40.0 ETH, confidence Low, as of 12:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 12:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9950 2026-08-08: 39.7 ETH (37.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9774 2026-07-27: 95.0 ETH (89.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6336 2026-07-02: 118 ETH (112 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8155 2026-05-24: 40.0 ETH (36.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2528 2025-11-27: 34.1 ETH (34.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3433 2025-10-08: 47.6 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3433 2025-08-21: 47.4 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9421 2025-08-06: 54.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-09-27: 0.50 ETH (sale)
- 2019-03-27: 2.50 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.