CryptoPunk #8858 valuation (beta)
Female, Earring, Bandana, Clown Eyes Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 29.4 ETH (about $66,939). 1σ range 27.8 to 31.1 ETH, 2σ range 26.3 to 32.9 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 29.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.8 to 31.1 ETH, 2σ range 26.3 to 32.9 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Clown Eyes Green -4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2772 2026-05-16: 32.5 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1452 2026-09-23: 35.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8999 2026-06-25: 30.5 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9732 2026-05-16: 31.0 ETH (28.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2828 2026-05-16: 32.8 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7502 2026-05-14: 30.9 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7502 2026-05-14: 29.7 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7981 2026-04-17: 25.1 ETH (28.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-04-23: 23.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-28: 96.0 ETH (sale, not used: twin-of-nominal-24h)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.