CryptoPunk #8859 valuation (beta)
Male, Shaved Head, Eye Mask.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.3 ETH (about $82,541). 1σ range 32.9 to 40.1 ETH, 2σ range 29.8 to 44.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.9 to 40.1 ETH, 2σ range 29.8 to 44.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Shaved Head -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4826 2026-02-03: 30.7 ETH (34.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4826 2026-01-16: 25.6 ETH (26.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1567 2026-01-09: 30.0 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6745 2025-09-24: 48.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2410 2024-11-20: 45.0 ETH (38.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2410 2024-11-15: 39.7 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3391 2026-11-02: 30.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6406 2026-11-01: 37.0 ETH (36.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-15: 27.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-10-28: 120 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.